One rule never before used could see Donald Trump removed from office

One rule never before used could see Donald Trump removed from office

Scott McConnell, co-founder of The American Conservative, is calling for the 25th Amendment to be invoked to remove Donald Trump from office.

Donald Trump has faced criticism since the conflict with Iran began. After his return to the White House, his comeback has been anything but calm, and much has happened.

Trump has taken several decisions that have divided opinion, and the coordinated airstrikes with Israel against Iran sparked strong reactions. The conflict in the Middle East has had devastating consequences, and tensions continue to grow. More than 3,000 people have been reported killed, including over 1,000 civilians.

Now, a conservative commentator is urging Vice President JD Vance to take the extraordinary step of removing President Donald Trump from office.

He Could Be Impeached.” Donald Trump's Base Revolts Over War With Iran | Vanity Fair

“Announce your support of 25th amendment transition”

Scott McConnell, co-founder of The American Conservative, suggested in a series of posts on X that Vice President JD Vance should consider invoking the 25th Amendment.

It is a rarely discussed constitutional option that allows a president to be removed from office under certain circumstances.

According to VT, he wrote: “My advice to Vance: Announce your support of 25th amendment transition,” before outlining what he described as a possible path forward.

McConnell continued: “Say Chris Murphy or similar will be veep. Announce you will NOT be a candidate in 2028. Use your position, access to the media to explain why this is necessary. Don’t resign.”

 

Inside Trump and Vance's 'buddy level' relationship

Trump is making America sad again - New Statesman

He went on to explain that he believes Democratic Senator Chris Murphy is a suitable choice, describing him as someone who is anti-war and “smart and not super woke.”

He wants Trump removed from office

Although McConnell did not explicitly mention Trump’s decision to strike Iran in that particular post, he has previously been critical of U.S. military involvement in the region.

He has also suggested that Senator Marco Rubio could be a part of solving the issue, writing that he could join the effort, “keep his job, negotiate a ceasefire and be the GOP frontrunner,” according to VT.

McConnell later returned to the platform with even sharper criticism of the administration, writing: “So Netanyahu fed Trump BS intelligence.

“Trump, ignoring his own intelligence agencies, lapped it up.

“Now because things didn’t work out like the BS intelligence claimed, wants to commit genocide in our name. OK.”

President Trump has recently stated that there are “strong” ongoing talks with Iran about a possible ceasefire. However, Iranian officials have since rejected those claims.

 

How could Trump be removed from office before his term ends on Jan. 20? | Reuters

 

 

US Presidential Election Betting Odds: Will Vance Replace Trump in the Oval Office?

 

U.S. Vice President and presumptive Republican presidential candidate J.D. Vance leads odds to win the next presidential election.

Vance has a 30.8% implied probability to replace his boss, President Donald Trump, in the Oval Office, according to bet365’s odds. California Gov. Gavin Newsom leads all possible Democratic nominees with a 21.1% implied chance.

President Trump and several of his affiliates have also entertained the idea of trying to get him back into the White House for years 9-12 of his service. However, bet365 does not have him on its odds board.

2028 US Election odds

Candidate

Odds to win 2028 US election at

J.D. Vance

+225

Gavin Newsom

+375

Marco Rubio

+1000

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

+1200

Josh Shapiro

+2500

Donald Trump Jr.

+2500

Pete Buttigieg

+3300

Gretchen Whitmer

+3300

Kamala Harris

+3300

Ron DeSantis

+3300

J.B. Pritzker

+3500

Andrew Beshear

+4000

Wes Moore

+4000

Odds courtesy of bet365 as of Feb. 17, 2026. Implied probability in betting is the likelihood of an event occurring as inferred from the odds offered by a sportsbook or the market.

Vance has been the favorite to replace Trump practically since the president took office for the second time. His odds fell ever so slightly since late last year, though he only went from having a 33.3% implied probability last November to 30.8% at the time of writing.

Trump’s numerous flirtations with a third term have not swayed bet365’s oddsmakers. The Trump with the best chance of being back in office is thought to be Donald Trump Jr., who is listed at +2,500 (3.9%), level with Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro.

Aside from Vance and Newsom, two individuals have better odds to win the 2028 Presidential Election than Trump Jr. (and Shapiro): Marco Rubio and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

Rubio, the U.S. Secretary of State, made a deep run in the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election but eventually dropped out after Trump won Rubio’s home state of Florida.

Ocasio-Cortez, a 36-year-old U.S. Representative from New York, did not meet the minimum age requirement for previous election races. At +1,200, she has a 7.7% implied chance.

One of the biggest losers of the last few months was Ivanka Trump. Previously +1,800 and fourth in odds, she’s down to +5,000, or a 2% implied chance.

Celebrities and notable figures

Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson is level with Maryland Gov. Wes Moore and Kentucky Gov. Andrew Beshear at +4,000 odds to become the next U.S. President. That gives him a 2.4% implied chance.

Former First Lady Michelle Obama is listed at +5,000; real estate mogul and businessman Grant Cardone is +6,600; Vivek Ramswamy, the youngest candidate in the 2024 Presidential Election, is +8,000; and sports commentator Stephen A. Smith is +10,000.

 

 

2028 US Election Winning Party Odds

Winning Party

Odds to win 2028 US election at

Implied probability

Republican

+110

47%

Democrats

-130

56%

Independent

+2800

3%

 

 

US presidential election winners

Year

Winner

Electoral votes

Popular %

1789

George Washington

69

NA

1792

George Washington

132

NA

1796

John Adams

71

NA

1800

Thomas Jefferson

73

NA

1804

George Washington

162

NA

1808

James Madison

122

NA

1812

James Madison

128

NA

1816

James Monroe

183

NA

1820

James Monroe

231

NA

1824

John Quincy Adams

84

30.9

1828

Andrew Jackson

178

56.0

1832

Andrew Jackson

219

54.2

1836

Martin Van Buren

170

50.8

1840

William Henry Harrison

234

52.9

1844

James K. Polk

170

49.5

1848

Zachary Taylor

163

47.3

1852

Franklin Pierce

254

50.8

1856

James Buchanan

174

45.3

1860

Abraham Lincoln

180

39.3

1864

Abraham Lincoln

212

55.0

1868

Ulysses S. Grant

214

56.7

1872

Ulysses S. Grant

286

55.6

1876

Rutherford B. Hayes

184

48.0

1880

James A. Garfield

214

48.3

1884

Grover Cleveland

219

48.5

1888

Benjamin Harrison

233

47.8

1892

Grover Cleveland

277

46.1

1896

William McKinley

271

51.0

1900

William McKinley

292

51.7

1904

Theodore Roosevelt

336

56.4

1908

William Howard Taft

321

51.6

1912

Woodrow Wilson

435

41.8

1916

Woodrow Wilson

277

49.2

1920

Warren G. Harden

404

60.3

1924

Calvin Coolidge

382

54.1

1928

Herbert Hoover

444

58.0

1932

Franklin D. Roosevelt

472

57.3

1936

Franklin D. Roosevelt

523

60.2

1940

Franklin D. Roosevelt

449

54.7

1944

Franklin D. Roosevelt

432

53.3

1948

Harry S. Truman

303

49.4

1952

Dwight D. Eisenhower

442

54.9

1956

Dwight D. Eisenhower

457

57.4

1960

John F. Kennedy

303

49.7

1964

Lyndon B. Johnson

486

51.1

1968

Richard M. Nixon

301

43.4

1972

Richard M. Nixon

520

60.7

1976

Jimmy Carter

297

50.0

1980

Ronald W. Reagan

489

50.4

1984

Ronald W. Reagan

525

58.8

1988

George H.W. Bush

426

53.4

1992

Bill Clinton

370

43.0

1996

Bill Clinton

379

49.2

2000

George W. Bush

271

47.9

2004

George W. Bush

286

50.7

2008

Barack Obama

365

52.9

2012

Barack Obama

332

50.9

2016

Donald Trump

304

46.0

2020

Joe Biden

306

51.3

Only three U.S. Presidents have received 60% or more of the popular vote since the metric was recorded. They include Warren G. Harding in 1920 (60.3), Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1936 (60.2), and Richard Nixon in 1972 (60.7).

US presidential election trends

  • Only 38% of presidents have won consecutive elections since 1900.

  • The average age of the president at inauguration is 55.

  • A candidate has won the popular vote but lost the election five times in U.S. presidential election history.

  • James Buchanan is the only bachelor to be elected president.

Betting on the election in the United States

U.S. states do not allow for election betting in an effort to protect election integrity and the democratic process. Legal betting sites in the United States don’t offer election odds to Americans.

Betting on the US election from Canada

Canadians have plenty of options when it comes to placing wagers on the U.S. election. The top political betting sites on our list are permitted to offer election odds within the regulated Ontario sports betting marketplace, along with all other Canadian provinces. Additionally, bettors in other countries can bet on the U.S. election.

In Ontario, there are multiple legal options to place bets including:

BetMGM: The sportsbook best known for its flagship US brand has expanded in Europe and is among the market leaders in Canadian gambling

bet365: Maybe the biggest name in global sports betting, bet365 allows bets on not only the winning president but also the winner in most states

DraftKings: One of America’s leading sportsbooks also allows punters to try their luck on presidential betting in Ontario

 

 

Trump Knows He Can’t Run Again. But He’s Got Another Problem.

His apparent successor for the MAGA mantle is JD Vance.

The race to replace Donald Trump is on, but no one seems particularly keen on his successor.

Despite his supporters openly encouraging him to ignore the Constitution, Trump has reportedly told his Chief of Staff Susie Wiles “a couple of times” that he knows a third term isn’t possible. And that leaves many in MAGA looking for what comes next.

Turning Point USA, the organization that energized young voters to turn out for Trump, has recently reoriented its focus on Vice President JD Vance ahead of the 2028 election. Vance, according to the Charlie Kirk-founded conservative nonprofit, has the chops to take Trump’s spot on the next Republican presidential ticket. There’s just one glaring flaw: No one seems to like him.

A CNN poll conducted earlier this month found that just 22 percent of Republicans support Vance’s bid for the presidency. They cited his “intelligence” as a key factor in his potential success with American voters, as well as the likelihood that he would continue Trump’s agenda.

The president’s suggestions as to who could top the Republican presidential ticket in 2028 have been so quiet that they’re practically murmurs. Without ever explicitly signaling his support for Vance to lead the party, Trump has lauded his number two, publicly describing Vance as “very capable” and the “most likely” choice to front the Republican ticket.

Vance has not yet announced a formal bid for the Oval Office, but that hasn’t stopped major Republicans from chiming in with their support. State Secretary Marco Rubio told Vanity Fair that he would back Vance rather than challenge him for the next GOP presidential nomination, while Representative Anna Paulina Luna has also shown her support for the 41-year-old Ohioan.

Turning Point’s new leader and Kirk’s partying, gold suit–wearing widow Erika Kirk made waves with her own support for the vice president after she intimately embraced him on stage in October, weeks after her husband’s assassination.

Erika Kirk and Turning Point formally endorsed Vance for president at the group’s conference earlier this month, pledging to help get him elected.

 

Somehow, Vance is the best that the party’s got—as of right now. No other GOP figure, including longtime presidential wannabes State Secretary Marco Rubio and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, eclipsed five percent in the CNN poll.

The largest group of respondents—some 64 percent of those polled—said they had “no one specific in mind” to top the 2028 ticket, suggesting an open playing field in which just about anyone could step in to win the Republican nomination.

Still, several of Trump’s most ardent supporters—including his first term chief strategist Steve Bannon—have advocated that the president should attempt to seek a third term. Vance, Bannon claimed in August, is simply “not tough enough” for the job.

 

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