Mexico warns Trump tariffs would kill 400,000 US jobs, threatens retaliation

Mexico warns Trump tariffs would kill 400,000 US jobs, threatens retaliation

MEXICO CITY, Nov 27 (Reuters) – Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum said on Wednesday Mexico would retaliate if U.S. President-elect Donald Trump followed through with his proposed 25% across-the-board tariff, a move her government warned could kill 400,000 U.S. jobs and drive up prices for U.S. consumers.
“If there are U.S. tariffs, Mexico would also raise tariffs,” Sheinbaum said during a press conference, in her clearest statement yet that the country was preparing possible retaliatory trade measures against its top trade partner.

 

Trump Promises New Tariffs On China, Mexico, Canada After Taking Office

 

Mexican Economy Minister Marcelo Ebrard, speaking alongside Sheinbaum, called for more regional cooperation and integration instead of a war of retaliatory import taxes.
“It’s a shot in the foot,” Ebrard said of Trump’s proposed tariffs, which appear to violate the USMCA trade deal between Mexico, Canada and the U.S.
Ebrard warned the tariffs would lead to massive U.S. job losses, lower growth and hit U.S. companies producing in Mexico by effectively doubling the taxes they paid. “The impact on companies is huge,” he said.

Mexico warns Trump tariffs would kill 400,000 U.S. jobs - CGTN

 

The proposed tariffs would hit the automotive sector’s top cross-border exporters especially hard, Ebrard added, namely Ford (F.N), opens new tab, General Motors (GM.N), opens new tab and Stellantis (STLAM.MI), opens new tab.
Ebrard noted that 88% of pickup trucks sold in the U.S. are made in Mexico and would see a price increase. These vehicles are popular in rural areas that overwhelmingly voted for Trump.
“Our estimate is that the average price of these vehicles will increase by $3,000,” Ebrard said.
Economist calls Trump's threat to tariff countries that shun the dollar a 'lose-lose'
Sheinbaum and Trump spoke by phone later on Wednesday, with the two discussing topics at the top of Trump’s agenda.
Trump had said the tariffs would remain in effect until the flow of drugs – particularly fentanyl – and migrants into the U.S. was controlled.
In a post on his Truth Social platform, Trump said Sheinbaum “agreed to stop migration through Mexico, and into the United States, effectively closing our Southern Border.” He described the conversation as “very productive.”
Sheinbaum later responded on X that she had laid out Mexico’s migration strategy, which “attended to” migrants before they arrived at the U.S.-Mexico border, in her call with Trump.
“Mexico’s stance is not to close borders, but to build bridges between governments and their peoples,” she added.
In after-hours trading on Wednesday, Mexico’s peso strengthened by as much as nearly 1% against the dollar, reversing losses logged in previous days.
Many analysts regard Trump’s tariff threats as more of a negotiating tactic than trade policy.
Trucks wait in line to cross into the United States, at the World Trade Bridge
A drone picture shows trucks waiting in line to cross into the United States near the border customs control at the World Trade Bridge, in Nuevo Laredo, Mexico, November 26, 2024. REUTERS/Daniel Becerril/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab
“The lack of a clear link between this threat and questions related to trade suggests the new president plans to use tariffs as a negotiating strategy to achieve goals largely unrelated to trade,” said David Kohl, chief economist at Julius Baer.
Trump tariff threat 'chilling signal' for Mexico economy

PROFIT WIPED OUT

Mexico’s automotive industry is the country’s most important manufacturing sector, exporting predominantly to the United States. It represents nearly 25% of all North American vehicle production.
Trump, Sheinbaum discuss migration in Mexico amid tariff threat

Analysts at Barclays said they estimate the proposed tariffs “could wipe out effectively all profits” from the Detroit Three automakers.

“While it’s generally understood that a blanket 25% tariff on any vehicles or content from Mexico or Canada could be disruptive, investors under-appreciate how disruptive this could be,” they wrote in a note on Tuesday.

Brian Hughes, a spokesperson for Trump’s transition team, said the tariffs would protect U.S. manufacturers and workers from “unfair practices of foreign companies and foreign markets.”

Stocks rise; dollar gets some support from tariff threats | Reuters
Hughes said Trump would implement policies to make life affordable and more prosperous for his country.

GM and Stellantis declined to comment. Ford did not comment on how the threatened tariffs would affect its business but said it manufactures more vehicles in the United States than most major automakers.

Mexico’s automotive industry group AMIA said it would prepare for any possibility and wait to see what formal actions are taken.
The Institute of International Finance, a trade group for the global financial services industry, warned Mexico-U.S. relations would be challenging going forward.

“The imposition of tariffs, eventually leading to increased protectionism, and other policies affecting exchange rates and commodity prices could have significant implications for the region,” it said in a note.

Brokerages see 'uncertain' 2025 on worries over potential Trump tariffs | Reuters

The USMCA is up for review in 2026.

Katia Goya, director of international economics at Grupo Financiero Banorte, said it was likely the three USMCA countries would seek wholesale renegotiation of the pact rather than just rubber-stamp it to continue in its current form.

“The effect of a trade-conflict situation is that it will mean lower economic growth in the United States, higher unemployment and higher inflation,” Goya said.

Ebrard said USMCA trade amounted to $1.78 trillion in the first nine months of this year.

“We can fragment and divide with tariffs,” Ebrard said. “Mexico does not want conflicts and divisions, but to build a stronger region.”

US universities warn foreign students on Trump immigration crackdown

Getty Images The Yale University campus in New Haven, Connecticut

 

Trump's Immigration Crackdown: US Universities Warn International Students

 

 

US universities have been emailing international students and staff advising them to return to campus before President-elect Donald Trump takes office in January, amid concerns over his plans for mass deportations.

“All international students are worried right now,” University of Colorado Denver professor Chloe East told the BBC.

Trump, a Republican, has pledged to enact the largest deportation operation in history, and use the US military to help.

More than 400,000 undocumented students are enrolled in US higher education, according to the Higher Ed Immigration Portal.

 

Trump's possible immigration crackdown: US universities alert foreign  students - Connected to India News I Singapore l UAE l UK l USA l NRI

Officials in Trump’s incoming administration have suggested they will build vast holding facilities for undocumented immigrants on the deportation list.

His incoming border tsar Tom Homan has said violent criminals and national security threats will take priority for removal from the country. But that has not allayed concerns in higher education.

 

“Students are incredibly overwhelmed and stressed out right now as a result of the uncertainty around immigration,” Prof East told the BBC.

“A lot of students have concerns about their visas and whether they’ll be allowed to continue their education.”

In November, the University of Massachusetts issued a travel advisory to its international students and faculty, encouraging them to “strongly consider” returning to campus from winter break before Trump takes office on 20 January.

“Based on previous experience with travel bans that were enacted in the first Trump Administration in 2016, the Office of Global Affairs is making this advisory out of an abundance of caution,” the college said.

US Universities Alert International Students On Trump Immigration Crackdown

 

Trump signed an executive order during his first week in the White House in 2017 banning nationals of several predominantly Muslim nations, as well as North Korea and Venezuela, from visiting the US. During his first presidency he also proposed some limitations on student visas.

The Massachusetts Institute of Technology and Wesleyan University have also issued travel advisories, urging students and staff to return to the US before inauguration day.

At Yale University, the Office of International Students and Scholars hosted a webinar this month fielding concerns from students about potential immigration policy shifts, the student newspaper reported.

Universities send warning emails to international students on Trump  immigration crackdown: Report - World News

 

This includes foreign-born students who are protected by the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (Daca) policy.

Trump has attempted to end the Obama-era programme, which shielded over half a million migrants who came to the US as children from deportation.

Prof East said students from Asia, particularly China, are feeling “uncertainty” about US-China relations under Trump.

Aoi Maeda, an international student from Japan studying at Earlham College in Indiana, is among those with concerns about her academic future.

“I am planning to graduate in May 2026, but now that the administration is going to be a little bit more dangerous, I’m less hopeful about things going well,” she said.

“[Trump] claims that he is only interested in keeping illegal immigrants out of the country, but he also kind of tries to move the goal post a lot of times,” Maeda continued.

“I feel like us international students with a visa might get affected, and it’ll become easier to deport us.”

 

US immigration: What immigration policies is Donald Trump considering for  his second term? - The Economic Times

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